YEARLY HIGH
24.2330 RWF
YEARLY LOW
15.2372 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
19.4566 RWF

2019 ARS to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 24.2330. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 15.2372.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.9958 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.8077 to the December average rate of 15.6271, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 24.2330 was down 48.10% compared to the 2018 peak of 46.6890, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 121,165 RWF
2018 Average 165,422 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 76,186 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,979.14 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

24.6298
14.7642
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.8021, compared to 17.1111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.6910 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.8021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.1111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 5.4516 RWF (High: 20.6888 / Low: 15.2372). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3055 RWF (High: 15.6910 / Low: 15.3855).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.4516
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.7779 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7779

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 23.8077) against the same month in 2018 (average: 44.9381), the exchange rate shifted by -21.1304 (-47.02%).

2019 Avg (January) 23.8077
2018 Avg (January) 44.9381

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.2330 23.3651 23.8077
February 24.1424 22.5363 23.2777
March 22.5576 20.5831 21.7343
April 21.7543 19.7700 20.9886
May 20.3948 20.0075 20.2089
June 21.5000 19.9446 20.7952
July 22.0323 20.8399 21.5599
August 20.6888 15.2372 17.7820
September 16.6377 15.4532 16.2913
October 16.0631 15.3676 15.8199
November 15.6910 15.3855 15.5863
December 15.8326 15.3378 15.6271