YEARLY HIGH
6.0835 RWF
YEARLY LOW
1.5559 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3703 RWF

2023 ARS to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 6.0835. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.5559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5275 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9049 to the December average rate of 2.2918, the exchange rate registered a net change of -61.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.0835 was down 39.28% compared to the 2022 peak of 10.0186, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,417 RWF
2022 Average 40,603 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 7,780 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,637.61 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.2662
1.9304
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2679, compared to 3.4727 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7953 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2679
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4727

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 1.9019 RWF (High: 3.4579 / Low: 1.5559). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0689 RWF (High: 3.5274 / Low: 3.4585).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.9019
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0689

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.2030 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 5.9049) against the same month in 2022 (average: 9.8870), the exchange rate shifted by -3.9821 (-40.28%).

2023 Avg (January) 5.9049
2022 Avg (January) 9.8870

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0835 5.7785 5.9049
February 5.8083 5.5266 5.6663
March 5.5219 5.2797 5.4023
April 5.3203 5.0096 5.1576
May 5.0335 4.7090 4.8637
June 4.7010 4.5358 4.6127
July 4.5419 4.3006 4.3982
August 4.2612 3.3790 3.7205
September 3.4959 3.4032 3.4393
October 3.5274 3.4585 3.4915
November 3.5367 3.4443 3.4947
December 3.4579 1.5559 2.2918