YEARLY HIGH
9.7918 SOS
YEARLY LOW
6.9000 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3196 SOS

2020 ARS to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 9.7918. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.9000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8918 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.6846 to the December average rate of 7.0370, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 9.7918 was down 38.23% compared to the 2019 peak of 15.8519, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,959 SOS
2019 Average 61,977 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 34,500 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,459.15 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

9.9494
6.7723
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.0399, compared to 7.5993 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4406 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.0399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.5993

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.4769 SOS (High: 9.4689 / Low: 8.9919). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1501 SOS (High: 9.7918 / Low: 9.6417).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4769
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1501

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3697 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3697

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 9.6846) against the same month in 2019 (average: 15.5325), the exchange rate shifted by -5.8479 (-37.65%).

2020 Avg (January) 9.6846
2019 Avg (January) 15.5325

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.7918 9.6417 9.6846
February 9.7232 9.3635 9.5099
March 9.4689 8.9919 9.2293
April 9.0417 8.6834 8.8596
May 8.8286 8.4745 8.5974
June 8.4704 8.2327 8.3588
July 8.2508 8.0385 8.1399
August 8.0758 7.7984 7.9153
September 7.8588 7.6112 7.7309
October 7.6031 7.4041 7.4954
November 7.4076 7.1379 7.2772
December 7.1543 6.9000 7.0370