YEARLY HIGH
6.8952 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.6427 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1297 SOS

2021 ARS to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 6.8952. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 5.6427.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2524 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7646 to the December average rate of 5.7107, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.8952 was down 29.58% compared to the 2020 peak of 9.7918, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,476 SOS
2020 Average 41,580 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 28,214 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,262.11 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.8700
5.6054
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.3793, compared to 5.8800 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4992 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.3793
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8800

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.2575 SOS (High: 6.8952 / Low: 6.6376). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0742 SOS (High: 5.9593 / Low: 5.8851).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2575
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0742

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2120 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.7646) against the same month in 2020 (average: 9.6846), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9200 (-30.15%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.7646
2020 Avg (January) 9.6846

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.8952 6.6376 6.7646
February 6.6447 6.4365 6.5526
March 6.4786 6.3154 6.3924
April 6.3828 6.1900 6.2677
May 6.2417 6.1152 6.1849
June 6.1755 6.0468 6.1136
July 6.0960 5.9783 6.0338
August 6.0147 5.9135 5.9622
September 5.9593 5.8851 5.9122
October 5.9268 5.8180 5.8660
November 5.8656 5.7435 5.7954
December 5.7855 5.6427 5.7107