2016 AWG to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0472 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.9478 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9860 BAM

2016 AWG to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AWG to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 1.0472. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.9478.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0994 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0037 to the December average rate of 1.0339, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0472 was up 0.70% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0399, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,236 BAM

2015 Average 4,919 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 4,739 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 497.21 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0411

0.9548

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9772, compared to 0.9947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0174 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9772

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0527 BAM (High: 1.0325 / Low: 0.9797). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 BAM (High: 0.9796 / Low: 0.9706).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0527

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0215 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0215

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.0339) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0008), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0330 (+3.30%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.0339

2015 Avg (December) 1.0008

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0119	0.9984	1.0037
February	1.0029	0.9643	0.9822
March	1.0034	0.9597	0.9795
April	0.9714	0.9535	0.9620
May	0.9814	0.9478	0.9658
June	0.9875	0.9575	0.9703
July	0.9933	0.9766	0.9858
August	0.9842	0.9631	0.9740
September	0.9796	0.9706	0.9745
October	1.0030	0.9714	0.9886
November	1.0325	0.9797	1.0113
December	1.0472	1.0146	1.0339