YEARLY HIGH
0.9969 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.9394 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9703 BAM

2019 AWG to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AWG to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 0.9969. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 12, dropping to 0.9394.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0575 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9510 to the December average rate of 0.9780, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.9969 was up 3.25% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.9655, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,984 BAM
2018 Average 4,619 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 4,697 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 287.64 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.9897
0.9474
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9615, compared to 0.9791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0176 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9615
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.0286 BAM (High: 0.9679 / Low: 0.9394). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 BAM (High: 0.9758 / Low: 0.9669).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0286
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0087 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0087

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 0.9861) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.9305), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0557 (+5.98%).

2019 Avg (September) 0.9861
2018 Avg (September) 0.9305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9580 0.9419 0.9510
February 0.9641 0.9476 0.9571
March 0.9679 0.9394 0.9598
April 0.9758 0.9599 0.9668
May 0.9758 0.9669 0.9715
June 0.9751 0.9530 0.9628
July 0.9786 0.9617 0.9684
August 0.9841 0.9667 0.9763
September 0.9969 0.9760 0.9861
October 0.9932 0.9733 0.9830
November 0.9886 0.9730 0.9826
December 0.9873 0.9676 0.9780