2013 AZN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

140.2600 ALL

YEARLY LOW

129.5857 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

134.7032 ALL

2013 AZN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the AZN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 140.2600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 129.5857.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.6743 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 133.7780 to the December average rate of 130.5001, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 140.2600 was down 3.11% compared to the 2012 peak of 144.7691, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 701,300 ALL

2012 Average 688,450 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 647,928 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 53,371.66 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

139.1877

129.7104

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 136.1000, compared to 133.3064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.7936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 136.1000

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 133.3064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 5.7033 ALL (High: 136.1836 / Low: 130.4803). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7381 ALL (High: 133.5353 / Low: 131.7972).

February Spread (Volatile) ±5.7033

November Spread (Stable) ±1.7381

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 2.6129 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 138.3979) against the same month in 2012 (average: 138.5889), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1910 (-0.14%).

2013 Avg (May) 138.3979

2012 Avg (May) 138.5889

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	136.3275	131.3364	133.7780
February	136.1836	130.4803	133.3173
March	139.3470	135.8137	137.4028
April	139.0979	136.0979	137.3284
May	140.2600	136.4174	138.3979
June	138.1931	134.6074	136.3756
July	139.5315	134.4148	136.7438
August	135.1058	133.2768	134.1308
September	136.0538	132.8418	134.1824
October	133.4494	129.7483	131.7541
November	133.5353	131.7972	132.5273
December	132.0722	129.5857	130.5001