2016 AZN to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

83.5096 ALL

YEARLY LOW

71.2282 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

77.5154 ALL

2016 AZN to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 83.5096. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 71.2282.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.2814 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.2437 to the December average rate of 72.3785, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 83.5096 was down 47.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 159.1886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 417,548 ALL

2015 Average 624,349 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 356,141 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 61,407.18 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

82.4613

71.4619

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 79.8395, compared to 75.1914 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.6481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 79.8395

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 75.1914

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 6.8843 ALL (High: 81.4214 / Low: 74.5371). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5932 ALL (High: 75.2353 / Low: 73.6421).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.8843

September Spread (Stable) ±1.5932

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.6735 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6735

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 81.5447) against the same month in 2015 (average: 120.1471), the exchange rate shifted by -38.6025 (-32.13%).

2016 Avg (May) 81.5447

2015 Avg (May) 120.1471

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	81.5579	77.9336	80.2437
February	81.0250	77.1907	78.8749
March	81.4214	74.5371	76.9484
April	81.6357	79.5788	80.6331
May	83.5096	79.9097	81.5447
June	83.2019	78.8649	80.7920
July	79.7727	76.5522	78.7493
August	76.9099	73.5531	75.0758
September	75.2353	73.6421	74.4664
October	77.9021	74.9764	76.6025
November	75.0029	73.1715	73.8756
December	73.3563	71.2282	72.3785