2012 AZN to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1965.4032 BIF

YEARLY LOW

1630.1341 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1786.5066 BIF

2012 AZN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AZN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 1965.4032. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 8, dropping to 1630.1341.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 335.2692 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1651.9262 to the December average rate of 1942.2910, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1965.4032 was up 17.03% compared to the 2011 peak of 1679.3876, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,827,016 BIF

2011 Average 7,666,260 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 8,150,670 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,676,345.78 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1971.3712

1622.4088

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1698.7733, compared to 1874.2399 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 175.4666 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1698.7733

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1874.2399

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was April, with a trading range of 128.6621 BIF (High: 1758.7962 / Low: 1630.1341). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 27.4668 BIF (High: 1664.2259 / Low: 1636.7591).

April Spread (Volatile) ±128.6621

February Spread (Stable) ±27.4668

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.1398 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.1398

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1942.2910) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1639.2474), the exchange rate shifted by +303.0435 (+18.49%).

2012 Avg (December) 1942.2910

2011 Avg (December) 1639.2474

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1683.2049	1633.9637	1651.9262
February	1664.2259	1636.7591	1654.6288
March	1662.6246	1631.0446	1651.4890
April	1758.7962	1630.1341	1673.9475
May	1798.9029	1733.2670	1771.4156
June	1808.5898	1775.5818	1789.2326
July	1847.9975	1786.5578	1817.4922
August	1848.5525	1820.2243	1837.2972
September	1887.5909	1821.8952	1853.6957
October	1899.8376	1868.5281	1889.3659
November	1938.5259	1872.8816	1905.2975
December	1965.4032	1901.6770	1942.2910