2013 AZN to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2015.2281 BIF

YEARLY LOW

1911.1320 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1975.5881 BIF

2013 AZN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the AZN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 2015.2281. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 1911.1320.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 104.0961 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1932.0754 to the December average rate of 1972.2932, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2015.2281 was up 2.54% compared to the 2012 peak of 1965.4032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,076,140 BIF

2012 Average 8,935,096 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 9,555,660 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 520,480.32 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2009.6629

1925.0220

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1983.2254, compared to 1967.9507 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 15.2747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1983.2254

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1967.9507

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 97.3107 BIF (High: 2015.2281 / Low: 1917.9174). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.0670 BIF (High: 1966.1163 / Low: 1956.0493).

March Spread (Volatile) ±97.3107

September Spread (Stable) ±10.0670

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 19.9767 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -19.9767

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1984.3602) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1651.4890), the exchange rate shifted by +332.8712 (+20.16%).

2013 Avg (March) 1984.3602

2012 Avg (March) 1651.4890

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1991.8552	1911.1320	1932.0754
February	2013.0137	1973.7655	1997.1401
March	2015.2281	1917.9174	1984.3602
April	2011.3186	1993.6069	2002.6095
May	2012.9384	1976.7631	2001.5720
June	2001.0664	1967.4885	1981.5953
July	1983.7880	1953.3848	1970.4119
August	1965.0576	1953.8458	1960.0334
September	1966.1163	1956.0493	1963.0896
October	1976.3785	1955.4935	1967.1590
November	1981.1470	1970.1353	1974.7171
December	1981.9350	1965.4521	1972.2932