2014 AZN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

229.0912 DJF

YEARLY LOW

226.0302 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

227.6255 DJF

2014 AZN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AZN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 229.0912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 28, dropping to 226.0302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0610 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 227.0132 to the December average rate of 227.4668, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 229.0912 was up 0.51% compared to the 2013 peak of 227.9371, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,145,456 DJF

2013 Average 1,131,458 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 1,130,151 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,305.05 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

228.1625

226.9087

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 227.4724, compared to 227.7787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 227.4724

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 227.7787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was April, with a trading range of 2.8986 DJF (High: 229.0071 / Low: 226.1085). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3575 DJF (High: 228.7945 / Low: 227.4370).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.8986

August Spread (Stable) ±1.3575

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2660 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2660

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 227.9394) against the same month in 2013 (average: 226.4809), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4586 (+0.64%).

2014 Avg (July) 227.9394

2013 Avg (July) 226.4809

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	228.2400	226.2010	227.0132
February	227.9396	226.0746	227.0756
March	227.9940	226.0302	227.0551
April	229.0071	226.1085	227.7698
May	228.9202	227.0657	227.9933
June	228.8677	226.9899	227.9275
July	229.0912	227.0471	227.9394
August	228.7945	227.4370	228.0580
September	228.7768	226.8854	227.7920
October	228.8413	226.4902	227.7256
November	228.8591	226.7461	227.6902
December	228.2764	226.3796	227.4668