2018 AZN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

105.9307 DJF

YEARLY LOW

103.6476 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

104.6158 DJF

2018 AZN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AZN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 105.9307. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 103.6476.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2832 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 105.5891 to the December average rate of 104.5668, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 105.9307 was down 1.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 107.4595, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 529,654 DJF

2017 Average 520,236 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 518,238 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,415.86 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

105.7557

103.7561

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 104.6645, compared to 104.5670 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 104.6645

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 104.5670

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 1.1253 DJF (High: 105.7253 / Low: 104.6000). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0294 DJF (High: 104.5815 / Low: 104.5521).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.1253

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6891 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 105.5891) against the same month in 2017 (average: 96.4658), the exchange rate shifted by +9.1233 (+9.46%).

2018 Avg (January) 105.5891

2017 Avg (January) 96.4658

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	105.9307	104.9235	105.5891
February	105.7253	104.6000	105.1192
March	104.9996	103.9354	104.4302
April	104.4610	103.6476	103.9227
May	104.6990	103.9060	104.3477
June	104.8772	104.5521	104.5781
July	104.5815	104.3289	104.5277
August	104.5815	104.5521	104.5749
September	104.8752	104.5521	104.6030
October	104.5815	104.5521	104.5692
November	104.5815	104.5521	104.5605
December	104.5815	104.5521	104.5668