2012 AZN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

111.3468 KES

YEARLY LOW

104.3642 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

107.5519 KES

2012 AZN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AZN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 111.3468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 104.3642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9826 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 109.5320 to the December average rate of 109.5395, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 111.3468 was down 17.61% compared to the 2011 peak of 135.1397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 556,734 KES

2011 Average 562,456 KES

Yearly Trough Low 521,821 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,913.11 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

109.9496

105.0289

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 106.9287, compared to 108.1751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2464 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 106.9287

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 108.1751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 4.7779 KES (High: 110.4432 / Low: 105.6652). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3506 KES (High: 105.9671 / Low: 105.6166).

May Spread (Volatile) ±4.7779

April Spread (Stable) ±0.3506

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.8649 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8649

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 109.5320) against the same month in 2011 (average: 101.5929), the exchange rate shifted by +7.9391 (+7.81%).

2012 Avg (January) 109.5320

2011 Avg (January) 101.5929

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	111.3468	106.6822	109.5320
February	106.5446	105.0025	105.6671
March	105.8655	104.3642	105.4389
April	105.9671	105.6166	105.7663
May	110.4432	105.6652	107.2445
June	109.7482	106.2996	107.9235
July	107.4328	106.8241	107.1749
August	107.4212	106.7195	107.0388
September	108.8723	107.0002	107.7842
October	108.6432	108.0678	108.4447
November	109.5296	108.6611	109.0686
December	109.7067	109.1692	109.5395