2018 AZN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

61.1864 KES

YEARLY LOW

58.6618 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

59.5860 KES

2018 AZN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AZN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 61.1864. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 58.6618.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5246 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 60.7834 to the December average rate of 60.0258, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 61.1864 was down 1.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 62.2525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 305,932 KES

2017 Average 300,865 KES

Yearly Trough Low 293,309 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,623.09 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

60.9511

58.9391

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 59.6746, compared to 59.4975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1771 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 59.6746

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 59.4975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.0904 KES (High: 60.6137 / Low: 59.5233). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3012 KES (High: 59.4335 / Low: 59.1323).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0904

September Spread (Stable) ±0.3012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7506 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7506

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 60.7834) against the same month in 2017 (average: 55.9965), the exchange rate shifted by +4.7870 (+8.55%).

2018 Avg (January) 60.7834

2017 Avg (January) 55.9965

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	61.1864	60.1794	60.7834
February	60.3613	59.6360	60.0328
March	60.1147	59.1771	59.6634
April	59.4593	58.6618	59.1067
May	59.6482	58.8217	59.1164
June	59.6359	59.1680	59.3448
July	59.3850	58.7137	59.1204
August	59.2952	58.9310	59.1361
September	59.4335	59.1323	59.2348
October	59.8590	59.1248	59.3747
November	60.6137	59.5233	60.0931
December	60.2702	59.5242	60.0258