YEARLY HIGH
103.9009 RSD
YEARLY LOW
84.0252 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
92.6648 RSD

2011 AZN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AZN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 103.9009. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 84.0252.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.8757 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 98.4723 to the December average rate of 99.4461, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 103.9009 was down 3.47% compared to the 2010 peak of 107.6408, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 519,504 RSD
2010 Average 482,013 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 420,126 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 99,378.44 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

100.7483
85.1226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 91.5161, compared to 93.8136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 91.5161
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 93.8136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 8.0109 RSD (High: 103.0779 / Low: 95.0671). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2831 RSD (High: 96.1345 / Low: 93.8514).

January Spread (Volatile) ±8.0109
February Spread (Stable) ±2.2831

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.3449 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.3449

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 99.4461) against the same month in 2010 (average: 100.3626), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9165 (-0.91%).

2011 Avg (December) 99.4461
2010 Avg (December) 100.3626

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 103.0779 95.0671 98.4723
February 96.1345 93.8514 95.1010
March 95.0379 91.0554 92.8300
April 91.7544 84.6149 88.4850
May 89.2178 84.0252 86.4247
June 90.6434 84.7149 87.7835
July 93.3608 87.8086 90.7435
August 92.1384 88.8064 90.5719
September 96.5229 89.0752 92.9965
October 97.5997 89.6676 93.0175
November 98.9811 92.6205 96.1059
December 103.9009 97.3243 99.4461