YEARLY HIGH
124.4057 RSD
YEARLY LOW
101.6649 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
111.8686 RSD

2012 AZN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AZN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 124.4057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 101.6649.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.7407 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 103.4857 to the December average rate of 110.0972, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 124.4057 was up 19.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 103.9009, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 622,028 RSD
2011 Average 463,296 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 508,325 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 113,703.75 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

122.8227
101.7277
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 108.6425, compared to 115.0947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.4521 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 108.6425
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 115.0947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 13.2776 RSD (High: 120.6547 / Low: 107.3771). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.3166 RSD (High: 108.0026 / Low: 105.6860).

May Spread (Volatile) ±13.2776
March Spread (Stable) ±2.3166

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.0658 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.0658

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 120.6495) against the same month in 2011 (average: 90.7435), the exchange rate shifted by +29.9060 (+32.96%).

2012 Avg (July) 120.6495
2011 Avg (July) 90.7435

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 104.9164 102.2626 103.4857
February 105.2077 101.6649 103.9935
March 108.0026 105.6860 106.6129
April 108.3059 105.9711 107.6696
May 120.6547 107.3771 112.7475
June 120.4103 115.1925 117.3461
July 124.4057 116.1919 120.6495
August 123.7194 119.0721 121.0648
September 119.8616 112.0298 114.9990
October 114.0920 108.5661 111.6921
November 113.1138 109.8440 112.0656
December 112.3151 108.6715 110.0972