2012 AZN to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.1179 SCR

YEARLY LOW

16.4136 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

17.4773 SCR

2012 AZN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AZN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 19.1179. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 8, dropping to 16.4136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7043 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.6601 to the December average rate of 16.6805, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 19.1179 was up 8.63% compared to the 2011 peak of 17.5997, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 95,590 SCR

2011 Average 78,894 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 82,068 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,521.63 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

18.7062

16.3750

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.9424, compared to 17.0122 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9301 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.9424

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.0122

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 1.3850 SCR (High: 17.9285 / Low: 16.5435). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0999 SCR (High: 16.7409 / Low: 16.6410).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.3850

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0999

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.6242 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6242

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 18.5119) against the same month in 2011 (average: 15.5541), the exchange rate shifted by +2.9578 (+19.02%).

2012 Avg (July) 18.5119

2011 Avg (July) 15.5541

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.0712	16.9474	17.6601
February	18.2344	17.5631	17.8231
March	18.1664	17.3825	17.9341
April	18.2513	17.5379	17.8464
May	18.5888	17.6149	17.9964
June	18.7252	17.9614	18.3940
July	19.1179	17.8747	18.5119
August	17.9285	16.5435	16.8878
September	16.6736	16.4136	16.5693
October	16.8110	16.5620	16.6936
November	16.8079	16.6222	16.7302
December	16.7409	16.6410	16.6805