2014 AZN to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.1794 SCR

YEARLY LOW

15.2050 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.2240 SCR

2014 AZN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AZN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 8, valuing the pair at 18.1794. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 15.2050.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9745 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.3918 to the December average rate of 17.8400, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 18.1794 was up 8.58% compared to the 2013 peak of 16.7426, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 90,897 SCR

2013 Average 77,010 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 76,025 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,872.43 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

18.3617

15.1218

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4919, compared to 16.9560 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4640 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4919

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.9560

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 1.3505 SCR (High: 18.1141 / Low: 16.7637). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1202 SCR (High: 15.7580 / Low: 15.6378).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.3505

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1202

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2517 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2517

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 18.0917) against the same month in 2013 (average: 15.3752), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7166 (+17.67%).

2014 Avg (November) 18.0917

2013 Avg (November) 15.3752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.5347	15.3160	15.3918
February	15.6276	15.3769	15.4737
March	15.5734	15.3044	15.4796
April	15.6832	15.2050	15.4043
May	15.9762	15.2680	15.5575
June	15.7624	15.4561	15.6447
July	15.7580	15.6378	15.6921
August	16.5666	15.6832	16.0417
September	16.8444	16.5393	16.6827
October	18.1141	16.7637	17.3877
November	18.1794	18.0056	18.0917
December	18.1618	16.9884	17.8400