YEARLY HIGH
1.3093 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.2698 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2923 KES

2016 BDT to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BDT to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 1.3093. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 1.2698.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0395 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3041 to the December average rate of 1.2882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.3093 was down 3.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,546 KES
2015 Average 6,307 KES
Yearly Trough Low 6,349 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 197.37 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3062
1.2812
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2935, compared to 1.2912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2935
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0330 KES (High: 1.3028 / Low: 1.2698). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 KES (High: 1.2936 / Low: 1.2882).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0330
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0086 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0086

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.2979) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1751), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1229 (+10.46%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.2979
2015 Avg (February) 1.1751

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3075 1.3019 1.3041
February 1.3093 1.2935 1.2979
March 1.3011 1.2916 1.2953
April 1.2959 1.2888 1.2918
May 1.2900 1.2801 1.2833
June 1.2950 1.2800 1.2883
July 1.2954 1.2849 1.2921
August 1.2953 1.2894 1.2933
September 1.2936 1.2882 1.2911
October 1.2991 1.2898 1.2923
November 1.2986 1.2832 1.2902
December 1.3028 1.2698 1.2882