2018 BDT to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2542 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.1815 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2078 KES

2018 BDT to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BDT to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.2542. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 1.1815.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0727 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2390 to the December average rate of 1.2187, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2542 was down 5.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.3256, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,271 KES

2017 Average 6,369 KES

Yearly Trough Low 5,907 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 363.73 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2440

1.1836

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2103, compared to 1.2053 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0050 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2103

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2053

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0350 KES (High: 1.2183 / Low: 1.1833). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0082 KES (High: 1.2071 / Low: 1.1988).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0350

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0201 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.2390) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3086), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0697 (-5.32%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.2390

2017 Avg (January) 1.3086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2542	1.2273	1.2390
February	1.2283	1.2095	1.2188
March	1.2235	1.1990	1.2172
April	1.2183	1.1833	1.2034
May	1.2025	1.1815	1.1886
June	1.1996	1.1894	1.1947
July	1.2054	1.1881	1.1953
August	1.2071	1.1879	1.1959
September	1.2071	1.1988	1.2023
October	1.2125	1.1852	1.1981
November	1.2355	1.2086	1.2213
December	1.2235	1.2075	1.2187