YEARLY HIGH
5.6880 ARS
YEARLY LOW
4.5556 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5008 ARS

2014 BGN to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 5.6880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 4.5556.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1325 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8629 to the December average rate of 5.3779, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.6880 was up 23.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.5923, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,440 ARS
2013 Average 18,605 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 22,778 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,662.46 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.7353
4.7835
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4793, compared to 5.5223 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0430 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4793
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5223

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.0270 ARS (High: 5.5825 / Low: 4.5556). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0489 ARS (High: 5.6848 / Low: 5.6359).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0270
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0489

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1126 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1126

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 5.6396) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.4709), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1687 (+62.48%).

2014 Avg (May) 5.6396
2013 Avg (May) 3.4709

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5825 4.5556 4.8629
February 5.5491 5.4264 5.4820
March 5.6452 5.5337 5.5976
April 5.6753 5.6020 5.6474
May 5.6880 5.6120 5.6396
June 5.6833 5.6181 5.6462
July 5.6843 5.6073 5.6427
August 5.6848 5.6359 5.6560
September 5.6491 5.4498 5.5434
October 5.5392 5.4178 5.4891
November 5.4559 5.3924 5.4246
December 5.4640 5.2612 5.3779