YEARLY HIGH
8.8010 ARS
YEARLY LOW
7.1941 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3490 ARS

2016 BGN to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 29, valuing the pair at 8.8010. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 7.1941.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6070 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5341 to the December average rate of 8.5354, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.8010 was up 19.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.3858, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,005 ARS
2015 Average 26,271 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 35,970 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,034.85 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.7610
7.4226
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1745, compared to 8.5236 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3492 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1745
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.5236

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.9629 ARS (High: 8.7880 / Low: 7.8251). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2059 ARS (High: 8.5739 / Low: 8.3679).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.9629
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1870 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1870

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 8.6495) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.3820), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2675 (+60.71%).

2016 Avg (September) 8.6495
2015 Avg (September) 5.3820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.7379 7.1941 7.5341
February 8.7880 7.8251 8.3963
March 8.7555 8.2785 8.4857
April 8.6130 8.1021 8.3444
May 8.3674 7.9090 8.1574
June 8.5981 7.8891 8.1289
July 8.5681 8.2610 8.4309
August 8.6370 8.3661 8.5013
September 8.8010 8.5284 8.6495
October 8.7986 8.4329 8.5649
November 8.5739 8.3679 8.4597
December 8.7605 8.2681 8.5354