YEARLY HIGH
17.6278 ETB
YEARLY LOW
16.0217 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.7093 ETB

2018 BGN to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 17.6278. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 16.0217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6061 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.1246 to the December average rate of 16.4004, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17.6278 was up 4.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.7939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 88,139 ETB
2017 Average 69,404 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 80,108 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,030.51 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

17.4768
16.1571
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.0279, compared to 16.3907 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6373 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.0279
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.3907

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.7845 ETB (High: 17.5239 / Low: 16.7394). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2237 ETB (High: 16.5907 / Low: 16.3670).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.7845
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6045 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 17.3668) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.3360), the exchange rate shifted by +5.0309 (+40.78%).

2018 Avg (February) 17.3668
2017 Avg (February) 12.3360

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 17.5239 16.7394 17.1246
February 17.6278 17.1659 17.3668
March 17.5433 17.1907 17.3373
April 17.3974 17.0027 17.2450
May 16.8929 16.2673 16.6405
June 16.6482 16.3042 16.4533
July 16.5907 16.3670 16.4796
August 16.5549 16.0259 16.3054
September 16.7984 16.2690 16.5179
October 16.5524 16.0797 16.3735
November 16.3882 16.0217 16.2671
December 16.6324 16.1966 16.4004