YEARLY HIGH
18.3310 ETB
YEARLY LOW
16.2653 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.7150 ETB

2019 BGN to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 18.3310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 16.2653.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0658 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.5546 to the December average rate of 17.8876, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 18.3310 was up 3.99% compared to the 2018 peak of 17.6278, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 91,655 ETB
2018 Average 83,524 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 81,326 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,328.78 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

18.0275
16.3489
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5554, compared to 16.8745 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5554
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.8745

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 1.1097 ETB (High: 18.3310 / Low: 17.2213). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2715 ETB (High: 16.6787 / Low: 16.4072).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.1097
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2715

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1045 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 17.8876) against the same month in 2018 (average: 16.4004), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4872 (+9.07%).

2019 Avg (December) 17.8876
2018 Avg (December) 16.4004

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.7603 16.3150 16.5546
February 16.6787 16.4072 16.5233
March 16.6027 16.2653 16.4888
April 16.6968 16.3360 16.5269
May 16.6656 16.3869 16.5258
June 16.9025 16.4410 16.7130
July 16.8496 16.3518 16.6085
August 16.7597 16.4303 16.5908
September 16.6527 16.3465 16.5432
October 16.9488 16.2962 16.7090
November 17.2375 16.6289 16.9080
December 18.3310 17.2213 17.8876