YEARLY HIGH
256.6400 KMF
YEARLY LOW
243.4773 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
250.9633 KMF

2016 BGN to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 20, valuing the pair at 256.6400. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 243.4773.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.1627 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 250.9024 to the December average rate of 251.5954, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 256.6400 was down 1.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 261.5050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,283,200 KMF
2015 Average 1,258,159 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 1,217,387 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 65,813.34 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

254.8377
247.0414
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 250.9660, compared to 250.9606 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 250.9660
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 250.9606

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 9.2300 KMF (High: 252.7073 / Low: 243.4773). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8420 KMF (High: 252.7539 / Low: 250.9119).

July Spread (Volatile) ±9.2300
April Spread (Stable) ±1.8420

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 2.3829 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3829

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 254.1880) against the same month in 2015 (average: 252.7493), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4387 (+0.57%).

2016 Avg (August) 254.1880
2015 Avg (August) 252.7493

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 252.7240 246.4998 250.9024
February 252.9282 250.7362 251.7164
March 253.8985 249.7478 251.8929
April 252.7539 250.9119 251.6130
May 253.1750 248.6136 250.4035
June 250.7411 244.9886 249.2678
July 252.7073 243.4773 247.6911
August 256.6400 251.6816 254.1880
September 253.4504 250.7721 251.8050
October 251.8534 246.7978 249.9967
November 251.9779 245.5036 250.4877
December 253.3700 248.0134 251.5954