YEARLY HIGH
70.2561 NPR
YEARLY LOW
62.2199 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
65.9825 NPR

2018 BGN to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 70.2561. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 62.2199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.0361 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 63.5043 to the December average rate of 65.7434, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 70.2561 was up 10.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 63.4105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 351,280 NPR
2017 Average 300,771 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 311,100 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,180.72 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

69.7309
62.9382
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.0138, compared to 66.9512 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9374 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.0138
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 66.9512

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4.0853 NPR (High: 68.5218 / Low: 64.4364). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7677 NPR (High: 66.0320 / Low: 65.2643).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.0853
March Spread (Stable) ±0.7677

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.3711 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3711

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 69.1649) against the same month in 2017 (average: 62.5602), the exchange rate shifted by +6.6047 (+10.56%).

2018 Avg (October) 69.1649
2017 Avg (October) 62.5602

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 64.6243 62.2199 63.5043
February 65.5612 64.3694 65.0417
March 66.0320 65.2643 65.5944
April 66.5507 65.0827 65.9284
May 65.9956 64.1476 65.2844
June 65.4286 63.9977 64.7296
July 66.2065 65.2126 65.6733
August 67.6731 64.2369 65.6524
September 69.8522 67.3576 68.6794
October 70.2561 68.1257 69.1649
November 68.5218 64.4364 66.7938
December 66.8853 64.7558 65.7434