YEARLY HIGH
63.3822 RSD
YEARLY LOW
62.1521 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
62.9139 RSD

2016 BGN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 63.3822. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 62.1521.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2301 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 62.6791 to the December average rate of 63.0510, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 63.3822 was up 0.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 63.1681, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 316,911 RSD
2015 Average 308,545 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 310,761 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,150.64 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

63.1454
62.6367
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 62.8553, compared to 62.9724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1171 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 62.8553
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 62.9724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.0194 RSD (High: 63.1920 / Low: 62.1726). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1718 RSD (High: 62.9909 / Low: 62.8192).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.0194
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1718

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1843 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1843

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 63.1030) against the same month in 2015 (average: 61.6169), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4861 (+2.41%).

2016 Avg (June) 63.1030
2015 Avg (June) 61.6169

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 63.1057 62.1521 62.6791
February 63.1920 62.1726 62.7860
March 63.1552 62.7237 62.9655
April 62.8837 62.5830 62.7812
May 63.1017 62.5834 62.8170
June 63.3822 62.9052 63.1030
July 63.1321 62.9369 63.0371
August 63.1227 62.6277 62.9712
September 63.0953 62.8364 62.9649
October 62.9909 62.8192 62.9081
November 63.0653 62.5317 62.9023
December 63.2309 62.8413 63.0510