YEARLY HIGH
60.9031 RSD
YEARLY LOW
59.3111 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
60.2354 RSD

2019 BGN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 60.9031. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 59.3111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5920 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 60.5060 to the December average rate of 60.0915, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 60.9031 was up 0.08% compared to the 2018 peak of 60.8528, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 304,515 RSD
2018 Average 302,281 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 296,555 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,959.85 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

60.5489
60.0344
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 60.3461, compared to 60.1247 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 60.3461
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 60.1247

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 1.5920 RSD (High: 60.9031 / Low: 59.3111). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1467 RSD (High: 60.3874 / Low: 60.2406).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.5920
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1467

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1065 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1065

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 60.5060) against the same month in 2018 (average: 60.6393), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1333 (-0.22%).

2019 Avg (January) 60.5060
2018 Avg (January) 60.6393

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 60.9031 59.3111 60.5060
February 60.5797 60.2634 60.4340
March 60.4309 60.2518 60.3275
April 60.3973 60.0057 60.2718
May 60.3874 60.2406 60.3038
June 60.3524 59.5987 60.2332
July 60.2692 60.0902 60.1998
August 60.3394 59.9786 60.1992
September 60.2850 59.8938 60.0996
October 60.2031 60.0033 60.0773
November 60.1666 60.0063 60.0810
December 60.1902 59.9778 60.0915