YEARLY HIGH
0.6396 USD
YEARLY LOW
0.5740 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6040 USD

2018 BGN to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 0.6396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 0.5740.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0656 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6238 to the December average rate of 0.5816, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6396 was up 3.85% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6159, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,198 USD
2017 Average 2,889 USD
Yearly Trough Low 2,870 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 328.04 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6365
0.5760
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6192, compared to 0.5889 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0303 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5889

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0250 USD (High: 0.6358 / Low: 0.6109). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0065 USD (High: 0.6011 / Low: 0.5946).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0250
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0065

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0228 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0228

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.6315) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5442), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0873 (+16.05%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.6315
2017 Avg (February) 0.5442

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6358 0.6109 0.6238
February 0.6396 0.6234 0.6315
March 0.6368 0.6258 0.6305
April 0.6337 0.6176 0.6275
May 0.6129 0.5907 0.6047
June 0.6039 0.5917 0.5970
July 0.6011 0.5946 0.5977
August 0.5989 0.5800 0.5899
September 0.6018 0.5908 0.5957
October 0.5927 0.5785 0.5873
November 0.5858 0.5740 0.5810
December 0.5858 0.5779 0.5816