2016 ARS āĻĨā§āĻā§ MNT-āĻāϰ āĻāϤāĻŋāĻšāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ āĻĒāϰā§āϝāĻžāϞā§āĻāύāĻž
2016 āϏāĻžāϞ āĻā§āĻĄāĻŧā§ āĻŦāĻŋāύāĻŋāĻŽāϝāĻŧ āĻšāĻžāϰā§āϰ āĻāϰā§āĻŽāĻā§āώāĻŽāϤāĻžāϰ āĻāĻāĻāĻŋ āĻŦāĻŋāĻļāĻĻ āĻŦāĻŋāĻļā§āϞā§āώāĻŖāĨ¤
2016 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 10, valuing the pair at 162.5223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 127.4711.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.0512 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 147.3074 to the December average rate of 156.3732, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 162.5223 was down 28.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 226.8533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
āĻĒā§āϰāĻŦāĻŖāϤāĻžāϰ āĻāĻŋāϤā§āϰāĻžāϝāĻŧāύ
2016 āϏāĻžāϞ āĻā§āĻĄāĻŧā§ āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ āĻāĻĄāĻŧ āĻāĻ āĻžāύāĻžāĻŽāĻžāĨ¤
ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 140.3526, compared to 149.5659 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 9.2133 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 16.5421 MNT (High: 144.0132 / Low: 127.4711). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7193 MNT (High: 149.1387 / Low: 147.4194).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 10.7034 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 158.4081) against the same month in 2015 (average: 207.2467), the exchange rate shifted by -48.8387 (-23.57%).
āĻŽāĻžāϏāĻŋāĻ āĻŦāĻŋāĻļā§āϞā§āώāĻŖ
āĻĒā§āϰāϤāĻŋāĻāĻŋ āĻā§āϝāĻžāϞā§āύā§āĻĄāĻžāϰ āĻŽāĻžāϏā§āϰ āĻĒāϰāĻŋāϏāĻāĻā§āϝāĻžāύāĻāϤ āϏāĻžāϰāϏāĻāĻā§āώā§āĻĒāĨ¤
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 153.7767 | 143.6620 | 147.3074 |
| February | 142.6371 | 128.6857 | 136.6041 |
| March | 141.5001 | 128.8907 | 137.1049 |
| April | 142.6591 | 138.3967 | 139.8063 |
| May | 143.5814 | 140.9218 | 142.1134 |
| June | 144.0132 | 127.4711 | 139.1795 |
| July | 137.8969 | 131.5002 | 135.5840 |
| August | 151.8552 | 138.2732 | 146.9472 |
| September | 149.1387 | 147.4194 | 148.2172 |
| October | 156.7110 | 148.8586 | 151.8657 |
| November | 162.5223 | 156.0077 | 158.4081 |
| December | 160.5088 | 153.9770 | 156.3732 |