YEARLY HIGH
162.5223 MNT
YEARLY LOW
127.4711 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
144.9593 MNT

2016 ARS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 10, valuing the pair at 162.5223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 127.4711.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.0512 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 147.3074 to the December average rate of 156.3732, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 162.5223 was down 28.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 226.8533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 812,611 MNT
2015 Average 1,067,916 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 637,356 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 175,255.93 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

160.6905
133.3016
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 140.3526, compared to 149.5659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.2133 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 140.3526
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 149.5659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 16.5421 MNT (High: 144.0132 / Low: 127.4711). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7193 MNT (High: 149.1387 / Low: 147.4194).

June Spread (Volatile) ±16.5421
September Spread (Stable) ±1.7193

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 10.7034 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.7034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 158.4081) against the same month in 2015 (average: 207.2467), the exchange rate shifted by -48.8387 (-23.57%).

2016 Avg (November) 158.4081
2015 Avg (November) 207.2467

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 153.7767 143.6620 147.3074
February 142.6371 128.6857 136.6041
March 141.5001 128.8907 137.1049
April 142.6591 138.3967 139.8063
May 143.5814 140.9218 142.1134
June 144.0132 127.4711 139.1795
July 137.8969 131.5002 135.5840
August 151.8552 138.2732 146.9472
September 149.1387 147.4194 148.2172
October 156.7110 148.8586 151.8657
November 162.5223 156.0077 158.4081
December 160.5088 153.9770 156.3732