YEARLY HIGH
2.0170 MOP
YEARLY LOW
1.8600 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.9440 MOP

2011 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 2.0170. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 1.8600.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1570 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0136 to the December average rate of 1.8688, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.0170 was down 4.43% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.1105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,085 MOP
2010 Average 10,239 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 9,300 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 785.04 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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2.0281
1.8543
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9809, compared to 1.9072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0737 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9809
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was August, with a trading range of 0.0299 MOP (High: 1.9427 / Low: 1.9127). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 MOP (High: 1.9163 / Low: 1.9074).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0299
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2011. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0195 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 2.0136) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.1039), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0903 (-4.29%).

2011 Avg (January) 2.0136
2010 Avg (January) 2.1039

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Month High Low Average
January 2.0170 2.0049 2.0136
February 2.0033 1.9904 1.9942
March 1.9922 1.9784 1.9880
April 1.9784 1.9611 1.9702
May 1.9649 1.9499 1.9607
June 1.9649 1.9521 1.9586
July 1.9617 1.9399 1.9484
August 1.9427 1.9127 1.9288
September 1.9163 1.9074 1.9109
October 1.9098 1.8921 1.9022
November 1.8935 1.8713 1.8838
December 1.8747 1.8600 1.8688