YEARLY HIGH
1.8603 MOP
YEARLY LOW
1.6236 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7600 MOP

2012 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.8603. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.6236.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2368 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8514 to the December average rate of 1.6361, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.8603 was down 7.77% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.0170, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,302 MOP
2011 Average 9,719 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 8,118 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,183.87 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.8730
1.6145
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8213, compared to 1.6987 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1226 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8213
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6987

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0392 MOP (High: 1.8081 / Low: 1.7689). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0108 MOP (High: 1.8436 / Low: 1.8328).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0392
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.0108

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0291 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0291

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 1.8514) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.0136), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1622 (-8.05%).

2012 Avg (January) 1.8514
2011 Avg (January) 2.0136

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Month High Low Average
January 1.8603 1.8422 1.8514
February 1.8436 1.8328 1.8378
March 1.8446 1.8293 1.8360
April 1.8299 1.8111 1.8195
May 1.8116 1.7890 1.7988
June 1.8081 1.7689 1.7842
July 1.7719 1.7430 1.7572
August 1.7540 1.7246 1.7342
September 1.7231 1.6984 1.7096
October 1.7010 1.6756 1.6898
November 1.6768 1.6497 1.6652
December 1.6512 1.6236 1.6361