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2014 ARS to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the ARS to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 6.8158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 1, dropping to 5.1762.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6396 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4699 to the December average rate of 5.2288, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.8158 was down 18.36% compared to the 2013 peak of 8.3485, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 5.7091, compared to 5.2751 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.4339 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.1592 PHP (High: 6.8158 / Low: 5.6566). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0347 PHP (High: 5.3021 / Low: 5.2674).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7616 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 6.4699) against the same month in 2013 (average: 8.2332), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7633 (-21.42%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.8158 | 5.6566 | 6.4699 |
| February | 5.7568 | 5.6566 | 5.7083 |
| March | 5.6821 | 5.5976 | 5.6508 |
| April | 5.6200 | 5.5385 | 5.5734 |
| May | 5.5652 | 5.4125 | 5.4624 |
| June | 5.4299 | 5.3488 | 5.3896 |
| July | 5.3953 | 5.2951 | 5.3335 |
| August | 5.3295 | 5.1905 | 5.2685 |
| September | 5.3257 | 5.1762 | 5.2510 |
| October | 5.3099 | 5.2457 | 5.2867 |
| November | 5.3021 | 5.2674 | 5.2822 |
| December | 5.2795 | 5.1998 | 5.2288 |