YEARLY HIGH
5.2648 PHP
YEARLY LOW
3.5628 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9425 PHP

2015 ARS to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 5.2648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 3.5628.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7019 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1860 to the December average rate of 4.2544, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.2648 was down 22.76% compared to the 2014 peak of 6.8158, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,324 PHP
2014 Average 27,458 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 17,814 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,509.67 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.2791
4.1612
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0528, compared to 4.8321 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2206 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0528
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8321

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 1.3082 PHP (High: 4.8710 / Low: 3.5628). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0407 PHP (High: 4.9701 / Low: 4.9294).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą1.3082
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0407

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.6470 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6470

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 5.1860) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.4699), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2839 (-19.84%).

2015 Avg (January) 5.1860
2014 Avg (January) 6.4699

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Month High Low Average
January 5.2648 5.1062 5.1860
February 5.1239 5.0546 5.0938
March 5.1025 5.0438 5.0690
April 5.0869 4.9658 5.0116
May 5.0186 4.9494 4.9806
June 5.0120 4.9322 4.9757
July 4.9701 4.9294 4.9524
August 5.0468 4.9595 5.0014
September 5.0442 4.9479 4.9912
October 4.9618 4.8377 4.8921
November 4.9720 4.8627 4.9014
December 4.8710 3.5628 4.2544