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2018 ARS to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the ARS to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1107.3843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 509.8977.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 597.4866 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1063.2242 to the December average rate of 556.9190, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1107.3843 was down 27.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 1525.0093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 950.8481, compared to 620.5006 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 330.3475 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 228.8207 STD (High: 772.2723 / Low: 543.4516). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.5342 STD (High: 989.0498 / Low: 976.5156).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 163.2234 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1063.2242) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1452.5382), the exchange rate shifted by -389.3140 (-26.80%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1107.3843 | 1006.9277 | 1063.2242 |
| February | 1016.8836 | 986.9300 | 1001.1544 |
| March | 991.2640 | 971.0555 | 983.8718 |
| April | 989.0498 | 976.5156 | 984.9615 |
| May | 983.5415 | 821.2998 | 881.8099 |
| June | 843.0418 | 728.1491 | 790.0665 |
| July | 771.5660 | 725.3333 | 760.1997 |
| August | 772.2723 | 543.4516 | 709.6750 |
| September | 571.3751 | 509.8977 | 546.4516 |
| October | 587.7561 | 533.2708 | 570.1979 |
| November | 595.0700 | 538.6265 | 579.5602 |
| December | 576.1945 | 548.7643 | 556.9190 |