YEARLY HIGH
1107.3843 STD
YEARLY LOW
509.8977 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
785.6743 STD

2018 ARS to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1107.3843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 509.8977.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 597.4866 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1063.2242 to the December average rate of 556.9190, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1107.3843 was down 27.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 1525.0093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,536,921 STD
2017 Average 6,596,262 STD
Yearly Trough Low 2,549,489 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,987,432.83 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1114.9014
494.7744
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 950.8481, compared to 620.5006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 330.3475 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 950.8481
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 620.5006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 228.8207 STD (High: 772.2723 / Low: 543.4516). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.5342 STD (High: 989.0498 / Low: 976.5156).

August Spread (Volatile) ±228.8207
April Spread (Stable) ±12.5342

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 163.2234 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -163.2234

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1063.2242) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1452.5382), the exchange rate shifted by -389.3140 (-26.80%).

2018 Avg (January) 1063.2242
2017 Avg (January) 1452.5382

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1107.3843 1006.9277 1063.2242
February 1016.8836 986.9300 1001.1544
March 991.2640 971.0555 983.8718
April 989.0498 976.5156 984.9615
May 983.5415 821.2998 881.8099
June 843.0418 728.1491 790.0665
July 771.5660 725.3333 760.1997
August 772.2723 543.4516 709.6750
September 571.3751 509.8977 546.4516
October 587.7561 533.2708 570.1979
November 595.0700 538.6265 579.5602
December 576.1945 548.7643 556.9190