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10-Year ARS to UGX Performance & Macro Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights over the past decade
Over the last 10 years, the ARS to UGX exchange rate has undergone significant macro fluctuations. The market reached its absolute decade peak on April 17, 2017, when the pair was valued at 239.9530. Conversely, the absolute lowest rate of the decade was recorded on October 25, 2025, dropping to a support floor of 2.3362.
This peak-to-trough range represents a total macro spread of 237.6168 UGX. From a long-term perspective, comparing the decade's oldest annual average of 227.2876 (in 2016) to the newest annual average of 2.5708 (in 2026), the exchange rate registered a net shift of -98.87%.
Analyzing macro structural support, the trading dynamics in the recent 5-year period averaged 13.5360, showing a variance of 109.0365 points compared to the older 5-year average of 122.5725.
Value generated converting a dynamic sum of 5,000 ARS over the decade:
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ARS to UGX Macro Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Decade Halves Comparison
Macro ShiftThe average exchange rate in the first 5 years of the decade was 122.5725, compared to 13.5360 in the recent 5 years. This shows that the rate was stronger in the older 5 years by a margin of 109.0365 points.
Annual Volatility Extremes
VolatilityThe most volatile year in the decade was 2018, with a trading range of 105.1796 UGX (High: 197.8557 / Low: 92.6761). Conversely, 2026 was the most stable year, with a range of 0.3433 UGX (High: 2.7545 / Low: 2.4111).
Decade Growth & Declines
Macro TrendsNo sustained consecutive year-over-year average growth streak of 2+ years occurred in the last decade. Conversely, the sharpest year-over-year decline occurred between 2017 and 2018, when the average rate fell by 77.1648 points.
10-Year Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the decade's oldest annual average (2016: 227.2876) against the newest annual average (2026: 2.5708), the exchange rate shifted by -224.7168 (-98.87%).
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| Date | Exchange Rate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 2.5105 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2.5130 |
| 2026-07-27 | 2.5151 |
| 2026-07-26 | 2.5196 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2.5190 |
| 2026-07-24 | 2.5245 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2.5211 |
| 2026-07-22 | 2.5166 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2.5092 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2.5012 |
| 2026-07-19 | 2.5012 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2.4983 |
| 2026-07-17 | 2.5011 |
| 2026-07-16 | 2.4970 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2.5083 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2.5058 |
| 2026-07-13 | 2.4821 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2.4734 |
| 2026-07-11 | 2.4737 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2.4745 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2.4780 |
| 2026-07-08 | 2.4577 |
| 2026-07-07 | 2.4546 |
| 2026-07-06 | 2.4527 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2.4518 |
| 2026-07-04 | 2.4485 |
| 2026-07-03 | 2.4544 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2.4604 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2.4660 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2.4725 |
| 2026-06-29 | 2.4811 |
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