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2017 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017
During 2017, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 239.9530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 189.4222.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 50.5307 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 227.5788 to the December average rate of 204.7926, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 239.9530 was down 8.34% compared to the 2016 peak of 261.7769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:
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ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 230.1784, compared to 208.1012 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 22.0772 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 21.7463 UGX (High: 211.1686 / Low: 189.4222). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2297 UGX (High: 210.1000 / Low: 205.8703).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 12.8243 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 236.7172) against the same month in 2016 (average: 232.2287), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4884 (+1.93%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 231.2419 | 224.7740 | 227.5788 |
| February | 233.3678 | 226.8431 | 230.4122 |
| March | 236.4867 | 229.7882 | 232.5169 |
| April | 239.9530 | 232.6312 | 236.7172 |
| May | 238.0299 | 222.6451 | 230.8171 |
| June | 227.0208 | 215.8450 | 223.0284 |
| July | 217.9626 | 202.0979 | 210.2040 |
| August | 212.2588 | 203.1322 | 207.4736 |
| September | 213.1595 | 205.3375 | 209.6164 |
| October | 210.5055 | 205.8962 | 208.4618 |
| November | 210.1000 | 205.8703 | 208.0584 |
| December | 211.1686 | 189.4222 | 204.7926 |