YEARLY HIGH
239.9530 UGX
YEARLY LOW
189.4222 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
219.1398 UGX

2017 ARS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 239.9530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 189.4222.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 50.5307 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 227.5788 to the December average rate of 204.7926, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 239.9530 was down 8.34% compared to the 2016 peak of 261.7769, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,199,765 UGX
2016 Average 1,159,473 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 947,111 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 252,653.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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239.9096
201.6002
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 230.1784, compared to 208.1012 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 22.0772 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 230.1784
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 208.1012

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 21.7463 UGX (High: 211.1686 / Low: 189.4222). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2297 UGX (High: 210.1000 / Low: 205.8703).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą21.7463
November Spread (Stable) Âą4.2297

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 12.8243 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -12.8243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 236.7172) against the same month in 2016 (average: 232.2287), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4884 (+1.93%).

2017 Avg (April) 236.7172
2016 Avg (April) 232.2287

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Month High Low Average
January 231.2419 224.7740 227.5788
February 233.3678 226.8431 230.4122
March 236.4867 229.7882 232.5169
April 239.9530 232.6312 236.7172
May 238.0299 222.6451 230.8171
June 227.0208 215.8450 223.0284
July 217.9626 202.0979 210.2040
August 212.2588 203.1322 207.4736
September 213.1595 205.3375 209.6164
October 210.5055 205.8962 208.4618
November 210.1000 205.8703 208.0584
December 211.1686 189.4222 204.7926