YEARLY HIGH
1.0829 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.9979 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0416 VEF

2011 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.0829. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.9979.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0850 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0797 to the December average rate of 1.0020, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.0829 was down 5.72% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,414 VEF
2010 Average 5,417 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 4,990 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 424.80 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.0875
0.9942
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0619, compared to 1.0212 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0619
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0212

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was August, with a trading range of 0.0163 VEF (High: 1.0394 / Low: 1.0231). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 VEF (High: 1.0243 / Low: 1.0201).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0163
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2011. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0115 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0115

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 1.0797) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.9479), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1319 (+13.91%).

2011 Avg (January) 1.0797
2010 Avg (January) 0.9479

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Month High Low Average
January 1.0829 1.0734 1.0797
February 1.0729 1.0661 1.0686
March 1.0683 1.0602 1.0649
April 1.0633 1.0523 1.0570
May 1.0542 1.0473 1.0520
June 1.0529 1.0458 1.0493
July 1.0496 1.0377 1.0433
August 1.0394 1.0231 1.0318
September 1.0243 1.0201 1.0224
October 1.0225 1.0138 1.0186
November 1.0139 1.0035 1.0089
December 1.0053 0.9979 1.0020