YEARLY HIGH
0.7254 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.4003 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6138 VEF

2016 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 0.7254. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 0.4003.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3251 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4662 to the December average rate of 0.6306, the exchange rate registered a net change of 35.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7254 was down 2.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7412, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,627 VEF
2015 Average 3,433 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 2,001 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,625.59 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.7343
0.3964
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5706, compared to 0.6570 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0865 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5706
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6570

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0703 VEF (High: 0.7254 / Low: 0.6551). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0099 VEF (High: 0.6603 / Low: 0.6504).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0703
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0099

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0385 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.7058) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6979), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0080 (+1.14%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.7058
2015 Avg (June) 0.6979

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4878 0.4533 0.4662
February 0.4490 0.4003 0.4278
March 0.4378 0.4013 0.4245
April 0.7105 0.6747 0.6930
May 0.7169 0.6987 0.7062
June 0.7254 0.6551 0.7058
July 0.6842 0.6629 0.6703
August 0.6804 0.6628 0.6724
September 0.6686 0.6502 0.6610
October 0.6603 0.6504 0.6572
November 0.6658 0.6327 0.6508
December 0.6456 0.6235 0.6306