YEARLY HIGH
5.4837 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.9432 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.2483 MOP

2012 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 5.4837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 4.9432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5405 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2699 to the December average rate of 5.3510, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.4837 was down 9.95% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.0897, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,418 MOP
2011 Average 28,536 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 24,716 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,702.60 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.4324
4.9830
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2963, compared to 5.2003 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0960 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2963
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2003

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.3253 MOP (High: 5.3924 / Low: 5.0671). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0946 MOP (High: 5.3521 / Low: 5.2574).

May Spread (Volatile) Âą0.3253
October Spread (Stable) Âą0.0946

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1390 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 5.3949) against the same month in 2011 (average: 5.5937), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1988 (-3.55%).

2012 Avg (February) 5.3949
2011 Avg (February) 5.5937

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Month High Low Average
January 5.3770 5.1787 5.2699
February 5.4837 5.2972 5.3949
March 5.4519 5.3332 5.3918
April 5.4443 5.3306 5.3753
May 5.3924 5.0671 5.2364
June 5.1869 5.0280 5.1094
July 5.1511 4.9432 5.0204
August 5.1432 4.9959 5.0580
September 5.3454 5.1232 5.2440
October 5.3521 5.2574 5.2951
November 5.2991 5.1851 5.2333
December 5.4221 5.2702 5.3510