YEARLY HIGH
4.7037 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.2456 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5252 MOP

2016 BGN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 4.7037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 4.2456.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4582 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4530 to the December average rate of 4.3069, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.7037 was down 5.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.9570, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,519 MOP
2015 Average 22,661 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 21,228 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,290.78 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

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4.6634
4.2745
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5665, compared to 4.4840 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5665
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4840

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2235 MOP (High: 4.5408 / Low: 4.3173). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0408 MOP (High: 4.6012 / Low: 4.5604).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2235
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.0408

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1034 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 4.6193) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.5615), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0578 (+1.27%).

2016 Avg (May) 4.6193
2015 Avg (May) 4.5615

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Month High Low Average
January 4.4831 4.4073 4.4530
February 4.6386 4.4556 4.5507
March 4.6445 4.4509 4.5491
April 4.6708 4.5858 4.6310
May 4.7037 4.5472 4.6193
June 4.6547 4.5027 4.5958
July 4.5559 4.4910 4.5231
August 4.6228 4.5326 4.5777
September 4.6012 4.5604 4.5790
October 4.5811 4.4458 4.5070
November 4.5408 4.3173 4.4103
December 4.3769 4.2456 4.3069