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2026 BTC to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026
During 2026, the BTC to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 633205.9544. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 7.9701.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 633197.9844 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0291 to the December average rate of 508144.1290, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6328677.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 633205.9544 was up 7765870.71% compared to the 2025 peak of 8.1536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTC based on timing:
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BTC to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 200215.5149, compared to 511191.7822 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 310976.2672 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 624737.0467 MOP (High: 624745.1018 / Low: 8.0551). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0738 MOP (High: 8.0439 / Low: 7.9701).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 90768.6529 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 601791.7513) against the same month in 2025 (average: 8.0403), the exchange rate shifted by +601783.7110 (+7484621.97%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 8.0439 | 7.9701 | 8.0291 |
| February | 8.1058 | 8.0239 | 8.0465 |
| March | 8.0905 | 8.0115 | 8.0579 |
| April | 624745.1018 | 8.0551 | 88454.1064 |
| May | 633205.9544 | 592557.0243 | 601791.7513 |
| June | 594441.7867 | 476809.0668 | 511023.0984 |
| July | 534901.4053 | 478658.2468 | 514239.4353 |
| August | 509350.4794 | 507444.2193 | 508144.1290 |