YEARLY HIGH
633205.9544 MOP
YEARLY LOW
7.9701 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
245063.8706 MOP

2026 BTC to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BTC to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 633205.9544. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 7.9701.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 633197.9844 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0291 to the December average rate of 514154.0043, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6403528.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 633205.9544 was up 7765870.71% compared to the 2025 peak of 8.1536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,166,029,772 MOP
2025 Average 40,142 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 39,850 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,165,989,921.82 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

661970.1235
-60170.3431
JanuMarcMayJuly

BTC to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 200215.5149, compared to 514154.0043 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 313938.4894 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 200215.5149
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 514154.0043

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 624737.0467 MOP (High: 624745.1018 / Low: 8.0551). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0738 MOP (High: 8.0439 / Low: 7.9701).

April Spread (Volatile) ±624737.0467
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0738

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 90768.6529 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -90768.6529

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 601791.7513) against the same month in 2025 (average: 8.0403), the exchange rate shifted by +601783.7110 (+7484621.97%).

2026 Avg (May) 601791.7513
2025 Avg (May) 8.0403

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0439 7.9701 8.0291
February 8.1058 8.0239 8.0465
March 8.0905 8.0115 8.0579
April 624745.1018 8.0551 88454.1064
May 633205.9544 592557.0243 601791.7513
June 594441.7867 476809.0668 511023.0984
July 534901.4053 478658.2468 514154.0043