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2016 BTN to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the BTN to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 12, valuing the pair at 0.7389. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.6864.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0526 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7065 to the December average rate of 0.7335, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7389 was up 2.24% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7228, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:
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BTN to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.6979, compared to 0.7158 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0179 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 0.0292 PHP (High: 0.7260 / Low: 0.6968). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 PHP (High: 0.6987 / Low: 0.6923).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0091 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.7335) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7092), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0243 (+3.42%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.7104 | 0.7016 | 0.7065 |
| February | 0.7048 | 0.6912 | 0.6977 |
| March | 0.6987 | 0.6923 | 0.6959 |
| April | 0.7082 | 0.6922 | 0.6973 |
| May | 0.7108 | 0.6915 | 0.6997 |
| June | 0.6961 | 0.6864 | 0.6905 |
| July | 0.7037 | 0.6965 | 0.7001 |
| August | 0.7044 | 0.6910 | 0.6965 |
| September | 0.7260 | 0.6968 | 0.7119 |
| October | 0.7300 | 0.7205 | 0.7247 |
| November | 0.7347 | 0.7233 | 0.7285 |
| December | 0.7389 | 0.7266 | 0.7335 |