YEARLY HIGH
0.8180 PHP
YEARLY LOW
0.7209 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7715 PHP

2018 BTN to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.8180. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 0.7209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0972 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7940 to the December average rate of 0.7474, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8180 was down 6.89% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8785, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,090 PHP
2017 Average 3,874 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 3,604 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 485.75 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.8132
0.7254
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7919, compared to 0.7511 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7919
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7511

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0326 PHP (High: 0.7633 / Low: 0.7307). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0095 PHP (High: 0.7826 / Low: 0.7731).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0326
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0181 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0181

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.8059) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7455), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0604 (+8.10%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.8059
2017 Avg (February) 0.7455

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Month High Low Average
January 0.8088 0.7834 0.7940
February 0.8180 0.7968 0.8059
March 0.8083 0.7966 0.8014
April 0.8030 0.7733 0.7924
May 0.7805 0.7676 0.7743
June 0.7890 0.7780 0.7834
July 0.7826 0.7731 0.7771
August 0.7743 0.7529 0.7659
September 0.7544 0.7424 0.7489
October 0.7449 0.7209 0.7327
November 0.7527 0.7241 0.7345
December 0.7633 0.7307 0.7474