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2018 HRK to STD Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the HRK to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 3358.6828. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 3182.2312.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 176.4516 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3313.7140 to the December average rate of 3234.2043, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3358.6828 was up 0.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 3330.7653, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:
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HRK to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 3306.5543, compared to 3268.1728 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 38.3815 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 99.3940 STD (High: 3314.0113 / Low: 3214.6173). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.2002 STD (High: 3326.8280 / Low: 3304.6278).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 47.0922 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3313.7140) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3257.9300), the exchange rate shifted by +55.7839 (+1.71%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3358.6828 | 3276.2759 | 3313.7140 |
| February | 3316.3532 | 3278.7326 | 3295.8517 |
| March | 3318.9536 | 3282.7449 | 3298.4502 |
| April | 3315.3527 | 3275.7126 | 3297.7916 |
| May | 3331.4728 | 3293.1825 | 3312.4395 |
| June | 3336.1734 | 3292.9639 | 3321.0791 |
| July | 3326.8280 | 3304.6278 | 3317.6082 |
| August | 3314.0113 | 3214.6173 | 3270.5159 |
| September | 3337.9629 | 3274.1880 | 3300.4544 |
| October | 3299.5017 | 3202.9274 | 3265.4580 |
| November | 3246.0447 | 3182.2312 | 3220.7961 |
| December | 3257.2958 | 3220.3928 | 3234.2043 |