YEARLY HIGH
0.8596 TRY
YEARLY LOW
0.4627 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5996 TRY

2018 MOP to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 0.8596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.4627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3969 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4683 to the December average rate of 0.6590, the exchange rate registered a net change of 40.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8596 was up 73.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,298 TRY
2017 Average 2,272 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 2,313 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,984.68 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.8134
0.4370
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5072, compared to 0.6920 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1848 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5072
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6920

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.2432 TRY (High: 0.8596 / Low: 0.6164). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0109 TRY (High: 0.4736 / Low: 0.4627).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2432
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.0109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0615 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0615

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.7349) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4359), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2990 (+68.60%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.7349
2017 Avg (August) 0.4359

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4736 0.4627 0.4683
February 0.4750 0.4637 0.4698
March 0.4966 0.4707 0.4821
April 0.5123 0.4896 0.5026
May 0.5885 0.5069 0.5478
June 0.5872 0.5531 0.5728
July 0.6087 0.5655 0.5904
August 0.8596 0.6164 0.7349
September 0.8236 0.7459 0.7821
October 0.7665 0.6774 0.7205
November 0.6845 0.6418 0.6651
December 0.6703 0.6420 0.6590