YEARLY HIGH
1.0680 TRY
YEARLY LOW
0.7317 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8790 TRY

2020 MOP to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 1.0680. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.7317.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3363 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7400 to the December average rate of 0.9646, the exchange rate registered a net change of 30.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.0680 was up 40.13% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.7622, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,340 TRY
2019 Average 3,522 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 3,659 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,681.40 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.0233
0.7142
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8119, compared to 0.9460 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1341 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8119
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9460

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 0.1232 TRY (High: 1.0680 / Low: 0.9448). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0160 TRY (High: 0.7477 / Low: 0.7317).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1232
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.0160

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0330 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0330

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2020: 0.9976) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.7120), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2856 (+40.11%).

2020 Avg (November) 0.9976
2019 Avg (November) 0.7120

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Month High Low Average
January 0.7477 0.7317 0.7400
February 0.7780 0.7473 0.7576
March 0.8270 0.7595 0.7940
April 0.8756 0.8273 0.8584
May 0.9019 0.8436 0.8675
June 0.8593 0.8396 0.8541
July 0.8741 0.8554 0.8607
August 0.9271 0.8681 0.9117
September 0.9802 0.9237 0.9456
October 1.0454 0.9720 0.9959
November 1.0680 0.9448 0.9976
December 0.9879 0.9244 0.9646